Prospective scenarios for sports tourism in Mexico City after the 2026 World Cup
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.47197/retos.v65.109696Keywords:
porspective, sport tourism, mega sport event, world cup, sustainabilityAbstract
Introduction: Sports tourism is undoubtedly a type of tourism that moves large masses of society as spectators and consumers. This research work was carried out in the town of Santa Ursula Coapa, Mexico City, which is the Azteca Stadium, it will be the inaugural stadium for the next World Cup 2026 of soccer sport.
Objective: To analyze prospective scenarios by approaching the main actors involved in the town of Santa Ursula Coapa, so that it can be considered to implement the most realistic scenario for the 2026 World Cup mega event.
Methodology: The methodology for the Political Analysis and Prospective Scenarios Project (PAPEP) was used, which comes from the Prospective Analysis Manual for Sustainable Development, created by the United Nations Development Program and which complies with objective 17 (Peace, justice and strong institutions) of the 2030 Agenda. 22 interviews, 4 visits to the study area, and video calls with non-governmental organizations were carried out from 2022 to 2024.
Results: 4 prospective scenarios were obtained, which explain how a certain category could behave in a specific context.
Discussion: The concepts referring to sporting events, present a certain limitation, since the prospective from the qualitative is still being constructed, finding ambivalences in sport tourism.
Conclusions: The proposed scenario called “the closest to reality”, would allow the coexistence between the population, tourists and the government, forming cultural groups and information modules that would allow for a better understanding of the local population.
References
Aboalsaud, T. (November 21, 2024). Lessons Saudis can learn from the Qatar World Cup to benefit their 2034 tournament bid. Arab News. https://www.arabnews.com/node/2580148/saudi-arabia
Añó, V., Calabuig, F., & Parra-Camacho, D. (2012). Impacto social de un gran evento Deportivo: el Gran Premi)o de Eutopa de Fórmula 1. Cultura, Ciencia y Deporte, 7(19), 53-65. https://www.redalyc.org/pdf/1630/163024659007.pdf
Baschwitz, A. (2021). Impacto Económico y social de los eventos deportivos una region concreta “Final de la Champions League 2029”. Madrid: Comillas. Universidad Pontificia. Retrieved on August 20, 2024, https://repositorio.comillas.edu/xmlui/bitstream/handle/11531/52736/TFG%20GUELL%20BASCHWITZ%2c%20ALFONSO.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
Choi, K., Minhong, K., & Leopkey, B. (2020). Prospective tourists’ risk perceptions and intentions to travel to a mega-sporting event host country with apparent risk, Journal of Sport & Tourism, 23 (2-3), 97-114. https://doi.org/10.1080/14775085.2020.171582
De Jesus, C. (2017). El turismo como factor de desarrolloo: el caso de Sergipe-Brasil. Barcelona: Universitat de Barcelona. Retrieved on July 31, 2024. https://diposit.ub.edu/dspace/bitstream/2445/120698/1/CAdJS_TESIS.pdf
Díaz, P. (2018). Modelo de Gestión para el turismo cultural sostenible: Una apuesta para Manizales, Colombia. International Journal of Scientific Management and Tourism, 4, 237-248. https://dialnet.unirioja.es/servlet/articulo?codigo=6640380
Duhau, E., (2001), “Políticas sociales, ciudadanía y descentralización”, in: Calderón, M., Assies, W., & Ton Salman, Ciudadanía, cultura política y reforma del estado de América Latina, Zamora: El Colegio de Michoacán. pp. 253-279 Retrived on July 6 2024. https://colmich.repositorioinstitucional.mx/jspui/bitstream/1016/807/4/AssiesWillem2002Cap%C3%ADtulo.pdf
Secretaría de Economía. (2020). Data Mexico. Reviewed August 20, 2024. https://www.economia.gob.mx/datamexico/es/profile/geo/coyoacan#:~:text=La%20poblaci%C3%B3n%20total%20de%20Coyoac%C3%A1n,%25%20mujeres%20y%2047.1%25%20hombres.
Fernández, M. (2014). El impacto turístico de los eventos deportivos: Un studio de Caso. Cuadernos de Turismo, (33), 59-76. https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=39830442003
FIFA. (2022). FIFA Annual Report 2019-2022. https://publications.fifa.com/en/annual-report-2022/finances/2019-2022-cycle-in-review/2019-2022-revenue/
García-Mochales, G. (2018). Impacto económico de los eventos deportivos en su lugar de celebración. Madrid: Universidad Pontificia Comillas. https://repositorio.comillas.edu/rest/bitstreams/145885/retrieve
Getz, D. (2008). Event tourism: definition, evolution and research. Tourism Management, 29(3), 403-428. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tourman.2007.07.017
González-García, J., Parra-Camacho, D., Calabuig, F., & Añó, V. (2016). Percepción de los residentes sobre el impacto del Mundobasket 2014 en Gran Canaria y apoyo a la celebración de eventos deportivos. Revista iberoamericana de psicología del ejercicio y el deporte, 11(2), 279-288. https://roderic.uv.es/bitstream/handle/10550/54326/113289.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
Hernández, M., & Castañeda, G. (2021). Plan prospectivo estratégico para Río Fonce 2020-2025. Universidad Santo Tomás. https://repository.usta.edu.co/server/api/core/bitstreams/6761e540-d805-4217-a872-591433c0c87/content
Herstein, & Jaffe. (2008). Sports hospitality as a business strategy. Journal of Business Strategy, 29(6), 36-43. https://doi.org/10.1108/02756660810917228
Kurtzman, J., & Zauhar, J. (2003). A Wave in Time - The Sports Tourism Phenomena. Journal of Sport & Tourism, 8(1), 35–47. https://doi.org/10.1080/14775080306239
Leal Londoño, M. del P., Travé Molero, R., Medina, FX, Abadia Naudí, S., & Sánchez Bergara, S. (2021). Turismo deportivo: Una oportunidad para los territorios locales en un contexto global. Un estudio Delphi (Sport tourism: an opportunity for local regions in a global context. A Delphi study). Retos, 42, 77–88. https://doi.org/10.47197/retos.v42i0.86696
Ledesma-Sosa, E. (2022). Mexico and the 2026 World Cup. Are you prepared for tourism infrastructure? Toluca, State of Mexico: Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México.. http://ri.uaemex.mx/handle/20.500.11799/113499
Martínez-Santos, R., Enjuanes, M., Pino, J., De la Cruz, E., &Crespo, D. (2009). Los diseños de competición de los campeonatos de liga de la ACB. Cuadernos de Psicología del Deporte, 9, 74. https://revistas.um.es/cpd/article/view/85931
Medina, J., & Ortegón, E. (2006). Manual de prospectiva y decisión estratégica: bases teóricas e instrumentos para América Latina y el Caribe. Repositorio Digital. Comisión económica para América Latina y el Caribe. https://repositorio.cepal.org/entities/publication/9c6424aa-df2e-4f08-a937-1e43ed5efec6
Monserrat-Gauchi, J., Segarra-Saavedra, J., & Penalva-Cerdá, S. (2024). Representación de las mujeres en la publicidad televisiva emitida durante la Copa Mundial Femenina de la FIFA (Francia 2019). Análisis de roles y estereotipos. Retos, 51, 700-711. https://doi.org/10.47197/retos.v51.100600
Ordoñez-Martínez, D., Seguí-Pons, J., & Ruiz-Pérez, M. (2023). Conceptual Framework and Prospective Analysis of EU Tourism Data Spaces. Sustainability. 16(1), 371 https://doi.org/10.3390/su16010371
Page, M., & Worden, M. (November 30, 2022). Human Rights Watch. Retrieved August 17, 2024, from Qatar World Cup Chief Publicly Admits High Migrant Death Tolls: Without Compensation, al-Thawadi’s “One Death is Too Many” Statement Rings Hollow. https://www.hrw.org/news/2022/11/30/qatar-world-cup-chief-publicly-admits-high-migrant-death-tolls
Parra-Camacho, D., & Duclos-Bastías, D. (2013). Percepción de los residentes sobre el impacto socioeconómico deun evento deportivo: análisis de segmentos y perfil del residente. Journal of Sports Economics & Management. 3(1), 4-32. https://dialnet.unirioja.es/servlet/articulo?codigo=5237668
Parra-Camacho, D., Calabuig, F., Añó, V., Ayora, D., & Núñez, J. (2014). El impacto de un evento deportivo mediano: percepción de los residentes de la comunidad de acogida. Retos, 26, 88-93. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/263505283_El_impacto_de_un_evento_deportivo_mediano_percepcion_de_los_residentes_de_la_comunidad_de_acogida
Programa de las Naciones Unidas para el Desarrollo (United Nations Development Program). (2018). Manual de Análisis Prospectivo para el Desarrollo Sostenible. Panama: Área de Gobernabilidad y Consolidación de la Paz del Centro Regional PNUD para América Latina y el Caribe. https://www.academia.edu/40474217/Manual_Analisis_Prospectivo_para_el_DS
Rahayu, T., Kyungro Chang, K. C., Castyana, B., Taufik, M. S., Anggita, G. M., Yudhistira, D., Prasetyasari, D. W., Setyawati, H., & Purwoto, S. P. (2024). The effect of sports event on revisit intention to build sports tourists' sustainability. Retos, 57, 780–789. https://doi.org/10.47197/retos.v57.103879
Redondo Castán, J.C., Pardo-Fanjul, A., Pedauga, L.E., & Izquierdo, J.M. (2023). Impacto económico de los pequeños y medianos eventos deportivos. Estudio del caso de la región de Castilla y León (España). Retos, 47, 695–700. https://doi.org/10.47197/retos.v47.93038
Revuelta, R. (2006). Turismo y eventos deportivos: Los Juegos Olímpicos de invierno. Oppidum. Cuadernos de Investigación. (2), 399-428. https://dialnet.unirioja.es/servlet/articulo?codigo=2254398
Sánchez, P., & Barajas, Á. (2017). Los eventos deportivos como generadores de impacto económico: Factores clave y medición. Universida de Vigo. 111-124. http://abarajas.webs.uvigo.es/LOS%20EVENTOS%20DEPORTIVOS%20COMO%20GENERADORES%20DE%20IMPACTO%20ECONOMICO.pdf
Tadini, R., Gauna, C., Gandara, J., & Sacramento, E. (2021). Eventos deportivos y turismo: revisión sistemática de la literatura. Investigaciones Turísticas, 21. 22-45. https://doi.org/10.14198/INTURI2021.21.2
Ulloa-Hernández, M., Muñoz-Strale, C., Farías-Torbidoni, E., Seguí-Urbaneja, J., & Giakoni-Ramírez, F. (2024). Percepción de la población residente sobre la responsabilidad social corporativa y su vinculación al desarrollo de los ODS de los Juegos Panamericanos y Parapanamericanos Santiago 2023. Retos, 60, 730-745. https://doi.org/10.47197/retos.v60.108229
UN Tourism. (2023). 2nd World Congress on Sport Tourism. Tourism and Sport United for Sustainability. https://www.unwto.org/en/news/tourism-and-sport-united-for-sustainability-at-the-2nd-world-congress-on-sport-tourism
Vázquez, F. (February 22, 2022). Turismo deportivo en México, en la transición de nuevas estrategias. El Economista. https://www.eleconomista.com.mx/deportes/Turismo-deportivo-en-Mexico-en-la-transicion-de-nuevas-estrategias-20220221-0094.html
Vegara-Ferri, J., Ibáñez-Ortega, D., Carboneros, M., López-Gullón, J., & Angosto, S. (2020). Evaluation of the tourist perception of the spectator at an eSport event. PUBLICACIONES. 50(1), 371-384. https://doi.org/10.30827/publicaciones.v50i1.15992
Weed, M., Coren, E., Fiore, J., Wellard, I., Chatziefstathiou, D., Mansfield, L., & Dowse, S. (2015). The Olympic Games and raising sport participation: a systematic review of evidence and an interrogation of policy for a demonstration effect. European Sport Management Quarterly, 15(2), 195–226. https://doi.org/10.1080/16184742.2014.998695
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2025 Juan Emmanuel Ledesma Sosa, Yanelli Daniela Palmas Castrejón, Omar Ismael Ramírez Hernández
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
- Authors retain copyright and ensure the magazine the right to be the first publication of the work as licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of authorship of the work and the initial publication in this magazine.
- Authors can establish separate additional agreements for non-exclusive distribution of the version of the work published in the journal (eg, to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgment of its initial publication in this journal.
- Is allowed and authors are encouraged to disseminate their work electronically (eg, in institutional repositories or on their own website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as to a subpoena more Early and more of published work (See The Effect of Open Access) (in English).
This journal provides immediate open access to its content (BOAI, http://legacy.earlham.edu/~peters/fos/boaifaq.htm#openaccess) on the principle that making research freely available to the public supports a greater global exchange of knowledge. The authors may download the papers from the journal website, or will be provided with the PDF version of the article via e-mail.
