Goal-scoring patterns and situational dynamics in professional futsal: a multivariate analysis with a predictive approach
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.47197/retos.v76.117601Keywords:
futsal, goal types, multivariate analysis, situational variables , tactical performanceAbstract
Introduction: Futsal is a sport in which goals and situational variables influence competitive performance. Understanding these relationships allows for the optimization of tactical planning.
Objective: The objective of this study was to identify whether there is any type of goal that differentiates situational variables of futsal competition.
Methodology: A total of 5903 goals were observed in matches from the Spanish Men’s National Futsal League. The situational variables analyzed were match result, partial score, team classification, and tournament phase. The independent variable type of goal included: throw-in, corner kick, fouls, second play, double penalty, penalty, pressure release, positional attack, numerical superiority, numerical inferiority, transitions, and ball recoveries. Chi-square tests and Cramer’s V, correspondence analysis, and multinomial logistic regression were applied.
Results: Significant differences were found between type of goal and result (<.001), score (<.02), and classification (<.001). Cramer’s V indicated a strong association with result and moderate associations with score and classification. Correspondence analysis showed clear segregation between categories, and the regression model identified goals scored in inferiority and superiority as the most robust predictors.
Discussion: These findings are consistent with previous research highlighting the relevance of positional attack, transitions, and set plays, confirming the tactical importance of these situations.
Conclusions: The results can be used by coaches to design training sessions, strategies, and tactics adapted to the competitive context of futsal.
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